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Impactos macroeconômicos do choque fiscal de 2015: A regularização de despesas públicas não contabilizadas
Cavalcanti, Marco Antônio Freitas de Hollanda; … - 2018
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic impacts derived from the recognition of previously unreported fiscal liabilities during 2015 in Brazil. This is done within a DSGE model with a detailed public sector developed and calibrated for the Brazilian economy. The gradual recognition of these fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146724
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Impactos macroeconômicos do choque fiscal de 2015 : a regularização de despesas públicas não contabilizadas
Cavalcanti, Marco Antônio Freitas de Hollanda; Vereda, … - 2018
This paper analyzes the macroeconomic impacts derived from the recognition of previously unreported fiscal liabilities during 2015 in Brazil. This is done within a DSGE model with a detailed public sector developed and calibrated for the Brazilian economy. The gradual recognition of these fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873387
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Aplicação de modelos dinâmicos bayesianos para projeção de arrecadação tributária
Gadelha, Sérgio Ricardo B.; Medrano, Luis Alberto Toscano - 2020
In this study, we undertook an econometric analysis aim to forecast the disaggregated series of ICMS administered by … three types of results: i) the evaluation of the forecast; ii) the elasticity of the tax in relation to the relevant … validate the forecast displayed a quite reasonable performance. From about 20 series for each state, approximately 80% register …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616488
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Previsão de inflação: análise preliminar de desempenho de técnicas de machine learning
Santos, Francisco; Nolau, Izabel - 2022
In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014486096
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Um modelo econométrico para previsão de consumo residencial de energia elétrica no Brasil
de Mendonça, Mário Jorge Cardoso; Lavagnol, Marcus … - 2019
the purpose of making projections. The different forecast validation criteria calculated for a 12-month horizon showed … very satisfactory results. In all cases, MLD had a forecast error within the 3% range, taken as a reference for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012146853
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Portugal: o desafio dos anos noventa
Lopes, Ernâni (contributor) - 1989
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000784672
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O futuro da Europa : reforma o declínio
Alesina, Alberto; Giavazzi, Francesco - 2007
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003559976
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Infraestrutura econômica no Brasil : diagnósticos e perspectivas para 2025
Pêgo Filho, Bolívar (contributor) - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009716098
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Um procedimento para prever recessões no Brasil a partir de indicadores antecedentes
Bohn, Liana; Bueno, Newton Paulo - In: Estudos econômicos : publicação trimestral do … 45 (2015) 1, pp. 215-247
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011457797
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Previsões para o crescimento do PIB trimestral brasileiro com séries financeiras e econômicas mensais : uma aplicação de MIDAS
Zuanazzi, Pedro Tonon; Ziegelmann, Flávio A. - In: Economia aplicada : EA 18 (2014) 2, pp. 295-318
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011449767