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We estimate a VAR model of the Phillips curve with an exchange rate shock to the Brazilian economy. Several different ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
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In this paper we investigate the real effects of fiscal policy in Brazil during the 1995-2008 period by estimating a VAR model that explicitly takes into consideration the role of public debt in the determination of fiscal variables, as recommended by Favero and Giavazzi (2007). According to our...
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