This paper deals with the existence and identification of a common European growth cycle. Univariate Markov switching autoregressions (MS-AR) are used for individual countries in order to detect changes in the mean growth rate of industrial production. A Markov switching vector autoregression...

No Estado do Rio Grande do Norte, o agronegócio é uma atividade que está crescendo cada vez mais devido ao setor fruticultura irrigada, destacando-se a produção de melão, que é um dos principais produtos agrícolas da economia norte-riograndense. Neste sentido, o objetivo do presente...

So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...

This study aims to examine the sustainability of the Brazilian public indebtedness using different approaches. Based on the analysis of the conditioning factors of net debt of the public sector (DLSP) in the period 2002-2014, there seems to be a change in fiscal regime between 2011 and 2014...

The purpose of this paper is to present an overview of foresight methods and techniques, with the aim of updating the debate and highlighting the more recent approaches in the field. In revisiting these methods and techniques, we observed the need for a brief incursion in an epistemological...