There is virtually a consensus that the ratio of suicides committed with guns to total suicides is the best way to indirectly measure gun ownership across different locations. However, such a proxy is not accurate for any locality with low population density in view that suicides are rare...

This study is part of Brasil 2035 a project whose objective is to provide subsidies to formulate long-term strategies for Brazil through Prospective Scenarios. The present text uses the prospective methodology, in order to present tendencies and uncertainties for public security. The article is...

In this article we investigate the capacity of antecedent variables, among them admissions for aggression, in the prediction of the number of homicides in Brazil. The main objective is to eliminate a gap regarding the large time lag in the dissemination of information about these deaths in the...

There is a consensus that the proportion of suicides committed with a firearm is the best proxy for gun ownership prevalence. Cerqueira et al. (2018) exploit the socioeconomic characteristics of suicide victims in order to develop a new and more refined proxy. It is based on the fixed effects of...