Recorremos à teoria do canal do crédito para avaliar a integração de uma pequena economia, com instabilidade nominal, numa união monetária desenhada para garantir um elevado nível de estabilidade monetária. Conclui-se que o choque estrutural da integração na união monetária pode...

This article discusses which may be the trajectory of the Brazilian economy over the 2020s, particularly in the transition from the current period when there is idle capacity in the economy to a period when the growth of supply capacity may again be crucial for growth. From the context created...

This article discusses which may be the trajectory of the Brazilian economy over the 2020s, particularly in the transition from the current period when there is idle capacity in the economy to a period when the growth of supply capacity may again be crucial for growth. From the context created...

This study introduces and evaluates a bottom-up methodology for projecting the Gross Value-Added of the agricultural sector (agricultural GDP). This approach integrates econometric methods with early crop forecasts, which are released one year ahead of annual production figures by specialized...

This study introduces and evaluates a bottom-up methodology for projecting the Gross Value-Added of the agricultural sector (agricultural GDP). This approach integrates econometric methods with early crop forecasts, which are released one year ahead of annual production figures by specialized...

The credit increased expressive and continuously throughout the Lula government, even after the 2008 crisis. This study aims to analyze this process and its determinants. We identify two different periods. We concluded that changes in legislation as well as financial innovations, in a favorable...

This article investigates the effects of monetary policy shock in the Brazilian real state market using structural VAR through the period June/2000 to August/2010. The identification is done following the agnostic procedure suggested by Uhlig (2005). The mains results are: The stock of credit to...

We present a detailed survey of changes in the reserve requirement system in Brazil and analyze the system's main functions and goals during the period from 1994 to 2012. We identify four different subperiods with respect to the use of this policy tool. In the first subperiod, from july 1994 to...

This brief essay discusses the balance sheet evolution of the banking system in Brazil in the recent period, between March 2007 and March 2014, as well as analyses methodological aspects of balance sheet data of the banks in Brazil. The study shows substantial changes in the banking system...

This paper distinguishes how the source of lending affects gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in Brazilian municipalities between 2007 and 2016. A unique data set allows us to discriminate between the effects of lending operated by either private or public commercial banks, and loans...