This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...

The uncertainties and economic effects after the outbreak of Covid-19 raised major concerns about the business conditions of the Brazilian automotive sector. This study contributes to this debate in course and analyzes the demand and supply of automobiles and light commercial vehicles in the...

This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...

The uncertainties and economic effects after the outbreak of Covid-19 raised major concerns about the business conditions of the Brazilian automotive sector. This study contributes to this debate in course and analyzes the demand and supply of automobiles and light commercial vehicles in the...

Pretende-se estudar a mobilidade internacional do capital e a problemática associada da sustentabilidade externa, do ponto de vista da tese de Feldstein-Horioka (F-H), e aplicar esta tese à economia portuguesa. Partindo do princípio das vantagens da mobilidade internacional do capital,...

English Abstract: The long-horizon event study methodology is used to document the severe impact of the US subprime mortgage crisis on the Colombian economy. The estimated parameter of a constant mean return model is used to derive the “abnormal return” on the market portfolios of Colombia...

O trabalho analisou as inter-relações entre as taxas de juros domésticas (SELIC e SWAP DI-PR_E 360) e outras variáveis que teoricamente as afetam ou são afetadas por elas, como: o índice EMBI+, o câmbio, a inação e a razão DLSP/PIB. Além destas variáveis foram introduzidos na analise...

O crescimento econômico tem sido uma das grandes questões da sociedade atual. Desde 2008 as grandes potências vêm enfrentando dificuldades para retornar ao ciclo de desenvolvimento pelo qual passavam antes da crise mundial afetando os países emergentes que, por sua vez, devem buscar uma...

This paper analyzes the dynamic properties of a DSGE model for Brazil, under alternative model parameterizations. First, we carefully review the literature in order to identify admissible ranges for the model's parameters. We then calculate selected impulse response functions (IRF) under various...

This paper presents the first results of an ongoing project aimed at building and putting into operation a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for Brazil. The model is based on Smets and Wouters (2003) and Christiano ET AL.(2005), to which we add features that are typical of...