This paper estimates the primary structural budget balance (eliminating the effects due to cyclical fluctuations in GDP and oil price) for the central government and public administrations from 1997 to the second quarter of 2010. Some adjustments were made on the IMF methodology to account for...

This paper estimates the primary structural balance and the fiscal impulse for the Brazilian public administrations from 1997 to 2010. We performed two adjustments: i) initially, one-off measures (including those resulting from creative accounting) were identified; and, ii) after this correction,...

This paper estimates the primary structural budget balance (eliminating the effects due to cyclical fluctuations in GDP and oil price) for the central government and public administrations from 1997 to the second quarter of 2010. Some adjustments were made on the IMF methodology to account for...

This paper estimates the primary structural balance and the fiscal impulse for the Brazilian public administrations from 1997 to 2010. We performed two adjustments: i) initially, one-off measures (including those resulting from creative accounting) were identified; and, ii) after this correction,...

The Financial Crisis has hit particularly hard countries like Ireland or Spain. Procyclical fiscal policy has contributed to a boom-bust cycle that undermined fiscal positions and deepened current account deficits during the boom. We set up an RBC model of a small open economy, following Mendoza...

The proposal is to discuss the dynamics of public debt and propose to carry out institutional changes in order to eliminate short-term logic dominant in the Brazilian financial market. The fall in real interest rates gave way to deepen recent changes in debt structure and eliminate the remaining...

This text aims to qualify the debate on the need for fiscal adjustment in Brazil, showing that the trend that takes place - at this conjuncture, as in other past - a low quality setting, based on cutting investments and / or increased tax burden, it is almost inevitable in the face of public...

This paper aims to contribute to the debate on possible changes in the Brazilian tax system in the light of recent experience of the European Union (EU) and the United Kingdom, with regard to tax rules. International evidence indicates, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) Fiscal...

This discussion paper intends to complement the analyzes carried out in Gobetti (2015), updating the diagnosis of the development of fiscal balances of the Brazilian public sector from the new series of GDP released by IBGE and statistics "above the line" that incorporate regional level of...

In the recent debate on the Brazilian growth model, the accuracy of the economic tripod (inflation targeting, primary fiscal target and floating exchange rate regimes) was pointed out as being responsible for the lowering of Brazilian economic growth and as a hindrance to its development....