The theoretical and empirical international trade literature suggests that there is long-term valuation/devaluation of the real exchange rate in the developed/undeveloped economies. We argue that the real exchange rate is affected by: i) intercountry differentials of the services sector...

The theoretical and empirical international trade literature suggests that there is long-term valuation/devaluation of the real exchange rate in the developed/undeveloped economies. We argue that the real exchange rate is affected by: i) intercountry differentials of the services sector...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the role of fiscal policy in the determinants of the sovereign spreads of a group of 23 emerging market countries in the period 1995-2008 focusing on two matters: i) fiscal policy sustainability, known as the accumulation of primary budget surplus, that...

The objective of this paper is to analyze the role of fiscal policy in the determinants of the sovereign spreads of a group of 23 emerging market countries in the period 1995-2008 focusing on two matters: i) fiscal policy sustainability, known as the accumulation of primary budget surplus, that...

Portuguese Abstract: Entre fevereiro de 2016 e março de 2017, o risco soberano do Brasil (SCDS Brasil) apresentou significativa redução, saindo de 500 para 228 pontos-base. Utilizando uma regressão linear e aplicando um modelo econométrico de correção de erros, este estudo mostra...

By using the Post-Keynesian approach, a link was obtained for international liquidity cycles and undevelopment economies exports. We argue that the international liquidity variable should be included in the export equation for Brazil, which was estimated in this paper. The econometric procedures...

This paper investigates the relationship between trade openness and the current account reversal cost in economies that have experienced sudden stops. At the beginning of such episode, governments usually attempt to equilibrate the balance of payments spending international reserves, but sudden...

By using the Minskyan approach of financial instability and the neo-schumpeterian approach to the relationship between the National System of Innovation (NSI) and economic competitiveness, a standard was obtained for growth cycles of economies whose NSI shows deficiencies when compared with the...

The present work aims to investigate the dynamic interactions between capital flows, public debt, country risk, interest rate differential and stock of foreign exchange in Brazil in the period 1995-2004. The vector autoregressive model (VAR) and the vector error correction model (VEC)...