The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...

So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...

So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...

The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...

Neste artigo procurou-se aferir a importância das taxas de juro nominais na determinação do nível de endividamento dos agentes económicos. Começamos por analisar a relação entre a estabilidade monetária e o endividamento. Analisamos as consequências macroeconómicas do endividamento....

O trabalho analisou as inter-relações entre as taxas de juros domésticas (SELIC e SWAP DI-PR_E 360) e outras variáveis que teoricamente as afetam ou são afetadas por elas, como: o índice EMBI+, o câmbio, a inação e a razão DLSP/PIB. Além destas variáveis foram introduzidos na analise...

This paper uses Brazilian monthly tax burden time series as an input for a study of its recent dynamic determinants. The estimates shows that tax burden reached 33,4% of GDP in 2014 that is lower than 33,6% of 2005 and without trend of growth. In addition, it presents an analysis of tax policy...

This article aims to estimate the dynamic factor model for prediction tax receipts in Brazil using monthly data for the period 2001-2013. The factorial model allows to reduce the dimensionality of the high number of taxes taking into account the information contained in the existing...

This paper examines how regulatory interventions can affect the market risk of electricity utilities and telecom carriers traded in the Brazilian stock market. Our article uses a bivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH - BEKK) model to analyze the impact of two...

This paper aims to compare two different methodologies to estimate exchange rate misalignment. The first methodology consists in using multivariate time series techniques and a model with domestic variables. The second methodology consists in Pesaran's Global Vector Error Correction Model with...