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This article verifies the occurrence of a real estate bubble in the Brazilian economy. Overall, our results suggest the existence of a bubble in the real estate sector of the economy. The Austrian School of economics provides a solid explanation to this phenomenon, which are reinforced by...
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of bubbles in the Brazilian exchange rate. We consider the floating exchange rate period from February 1999 to February … 2002 in order to capture speculative bubbles since in previous years the exchange rate bands avoid the possibility of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749636
In this study, we undertook an econometric analysis aim to forecast the disaggregated series of ICMS administered by … three types of results: i) the evaluation of the forecast; ii) the elasticity of the tax in relation to the relevant … validate the forecast displayed a quite reasonable performance. From about 20 series for each state, approximately 80% register …
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In this Discussion Paper, we test forecasting models for inflation and economic activity with macroeconomic data and economic surveys between January 2002 and October 2019 on a monthly basis. Due to the high dimension nature of the set of explanatory variables, we use machine learning (ML)...
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