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Recuperação econômica e fechamento gradual do hiato: Um exercício de consistência de médio e longo prazos
de Castro Souza, José Ronaldo; Giambiagi, Fabio - 2021
This article discusses which may be the trajectory of the Brazilian economy over the 2020s, particularly in the transition from the current period when there is idle capacity in the economy to a period when the growth of supply capacity may again be crucial for growth. From the context created...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628685
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Recuperação econômica e fechamento gradual do hiato: um exercício de consistência de médio e longo prazos
Souza Júnior, José Ronaldo de Castro; Giambiagi, Fabio - 2021
This article discusses which may be the trajectory of the Brazilian economy over the 2020s, particularly in the transition from the current period when there is idle capacity in the economy to a period when the growth of supply capacity may again be crucial for growth. From the context created...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012625528
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Inflação e o padrão de crescimento brasileiro: Considerações a partir da desagregação do IPCA
Martinez, Thiago Sevilhano - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330933
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Inflação e o padrão de crescimento brasileiro : considerações a partir da desagregação do IPCA
Martinez, Thiago Sevilhano - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009730202
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Polítca monetária e câmbio: Efeitos sobre preços desagregados em um modelo favar para o Brasil
Lima, Elcyon Caiado; Martinez, Thiago Sevilhano; … - 2015
This paper investigates the effect of monetary and exchange rate shocks on disaggregated prices of the Brazilian Consumer Price Index (IPCA), from 1999 to 2011. We analyze the results of a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (Favar), which are presented by different levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372201
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Polítca monetária e câmbio : efeitos sobre preços desagregados em um modelo favar para o Brasil
Lima, Elcyon Caiado Rocha; Martinez, Thiago Sevilhano; … - 2015
This paper investigates the effect of monetary and exchange rate shocks on disaggregated prices of the Brazilian Consumer Price Index (IPCA), from 1999 to 2011. We analyze the results of a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (Favar), which are presented by different levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509578
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Modelo de previsão para o PIB da agropecuária utilizando um método bottom-up
Souza Júnior, José Ronaldo de Castro - 2024
This study introduces and evaluates a bottom-up methodology for projecting the Gross Value-Added of the agricultural sector (agricultural GDP). This approach integrates econometric methods with early crop forecasts, which are released one year ahead of annual production figures by specialized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015062402
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Modelo de previsão para o PIB da agropecuária utilizando um método bottom-up
Garcia, Pedro Mendes; Souza Júnior, José Ronaldo de Castro - 2024
This study introduces and evaluates a bottom-up methodology for projecting the Gross Value-Added of the agricultural sector (agricultural GDP). This approach integrates econometric methods with early crop forecasts, which are released one year ahead of annual production figures by specialized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015070290
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Inflação e nível de atividade no Brasil: Estimativas via curva de Phillips
Brito, Leandro N.; Lima, Elcyon C. R. - 2008
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability … the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As explained in the text, the NAILO should not be confused with the country … inflation rate between 0.5 and 0.7 pp (percentage points). We also observed a very close relationship between changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330689
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Inflação e nível de atividade no Brasil : estimativas via curva de Phillips
Brito, Leandro N. (contributor);  … - 2008
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability … the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As explained in the text, the NAILO should not be confused with the country … inflation rate between 0.5 and 0.7 pp (percentage points). We also observed a very close relationship between changes in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772458