The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

We know from experience that weak economic growth increases the unemployment rate. In 1962 Okun proposed to measure potential output in terms of unemployment gap. From this relation a direct link between increase in unemployment and output growth was deduced, known as the Okun Law. This Law is...

The panel data of the Brazilian Monthly Employment Survey - Pesquisa Mensal de Emprego (PME/IBGE) is actually one of the richest datasets for analysis of labor market in Brazil. The reason is its longitudinal design. Since it is only addressed to labor market investigations, its questionnaire...

Revised: 2006-05.-- Published as an article in: The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, vol. 86, issue 4, pp. 1034-1036.

This paper applies multilevel models to Brazilian's tertiary education assessment data in order to test whether some of the factors pointed out by the literature as relevant to achievement are associated with the performance of last year engineering students in 2011. Brazil is the only country...

This article brings new inputs to debate outsourcing in Brazil, using a new methodology based on administrative records. With this methodology, it is possible to identify 4.02 million outsourced workers, corresponding to 11.7% of total employees in the urban private sector. Moreover, with this...

There is virtually a consensus that the ratio of suicides committed with guns to total suicides is the best way to indirectly measure gun ownership across different locations. However, such a proxy is not accurate for any locality with low population density in view that suicides are rare...