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This paper analyzes inflation targeting, focusing on the interest-price transmission mechanism. The authors discuss the recent performance of the retail industry in Brazil, highlighting how monetary policy affects prices, both directly and indirectly. The key hypothesis is that interest rates...
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We estimate a VAR model of the Phillips curve with an exchange rate shock to the Brazilian economy. Several different ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
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