Neste artigo procurou-se aferir a importância das taxas de juro nominais na determinação do nível de endividamento dos agentes económicos. Começamos por analisar a relação entre a estabilidade monetária e o endividamento. Analisamos as consequências macroeconómicas do endividamento....

Recorremos à teoria do canal do crédito para avaliar a integração de uma pequena economia, com instabilidade nominal, numa união monetária desenhada para garantir um elevado nível de estabilidade monetária. Conclui-se que o choque estrutural da integração na união monetária pode...

This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...

This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...

This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...

This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...

This paper deals with the existence and identification of a common European growth cycle. Univariate Markov switching autoregressions (MS-AR) are used for individual countries in order to detect changes in the mean growth rate of industrial production. A Markov switching vector autoregression...

The credit increased expressive and continuously throughout the Lula government, even after the 2008 crisis. This study aims to analyze this process and its determinants. We identify two different periods. We concluded that changes in legislation as well as financial innovations, in a favorable...

This article investigates the effects of monetary policy shock in the Brazilian real state market using structural VAR through the period June/2000 to August/2010. The identification is done following the agnostic procedure suggested by Uhlig (2005). The mains results are: The stock of credit to...

We present a detailed survey of changes in the reserve requirement system in Brazil and analyze the system's main functions and goals during the period from 1994 to 2012. We identify four different subperiods with respect to the use of this policy tool. In the first subperiod, from july 1994 to...