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So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012802817
The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013400244
So far, there are very few papers concerning the problems of non causality and non-fundamentalness in fiscal studies. This is even truer for Brazil. Non causality and non fundamentalness are econometric problems that are specially relevant in fiscal studies, as they are relate to fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012656123
The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013277350
The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616454
The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208507
final result, the two models' forecasting are the same. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004968566
forecasting the local index; the first was the Kalman Filter and the second one the Box-Jenkins. The presence of outliers required … the two models’ forecasting results showed to be equivalent. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056712
models, although some differences in forecasting accuracy. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005685265
systematically surpassing univariate models, especially in extended periods of forecasting. In general, improvements related to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616509