A principal explicação sugerida pela literatura para o viés do preço futuro em relação à taxa de câmbio que prevalecerá no futuro é a existência de um prêmio de risco. Aplicamos aqui os principais modelos teóricos e técnicas econométricas para identificação e mensuração do...

We thoroughly describe the workings of the Brazilian interbank exchange rate market: agents, products, regulation, operation and risks. We analyse the recent evolution of the exchange rate market and came to a negative evaluation of the current exchange rate trading system, thereby suggesting an...

O trabalho analisou as inter-relações entre as taxas de juros domésticas (SELIC e SWAP DI-PR_E 360) e outras variáveis que teoricamente as afetam ou são afetadas por elas, como: o índice EMBI+, o câmbio, a inação e a razão DLSP/PIB. Além destas variáveis foram introduzidos na analise...

A principal explicação sugerida pela literatura para o viés do preço futuro em relação à taxa de câmbio que prevalecerá no futuro é a existência de um prêmio de risco. Aplicamos aqui os principais modelos teóricos e técnicas econométricas para identificação e mensuração do...

We thoroughly describe the workings of the Brazilian interbank exchange rate market: agents, products, regulation, operation and risks. We analyse the recent evolution of the exchange rate market and came to a negative evaluation of the current exchange rate trading system, thereby suggesting an...

This study aims to examine the theoretical literature concerning exchange-rate and balance-of-payments determination, in order to investigate how an exchange rate change may affect one country's foreign trade flows. Therefore, we analyze the different categories of balance-of-payments models -...

The real exchange rate (RER) can be considered one of the most important relative price of economics, given the influence it exerts on many other prices and variables, and may be overvalued, among other factors, as a symptom of the existence of a Dutch disease process. Thus, seeking to prove...

This study aims to analyze empirically the interactions between exchange rate behavior and the performance of Brazilian foreign trade. First, the empirical literature on the subject is reviewed, in order to elucidate methodological issues such as appropriate model type, identification strategy,...

In this paper, we describe the operation of the foreign exchange (FX) market in Brazil and discuss the relations between prices of derivatives and spot prices. A literature review of interventions in the FX market is done. Then, we study, in a descriptive way, the interventions of the Central...

This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 2004 and the third trimester of 2012, by applying the new Jeanne e Rancière (2011) framework, using different scenarios. The estimates of the optimal holdings of this asset are calculated...