The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

We know from experience that weak economic growth increases the unemployment rate. In 1962 Okun proposed to measure potential output in terms of unemployment gap. From this relation a direct link between increase in unemployment and output growth was deduced, known as the Okun Law. This Law is...

The forecasting of government revenues is extremely important for an adequate budget execution, since a good accuracy in the estimation allows the stipulation of an expenditure level that meets the demands of the population. Using data released by the National Council of Treasury Policy, the...

This paper examines how regulatory interventions can affect the market risk of electricity utilities and telecom carriers traded in the Brazilian stock market. Our article uses a bivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH - BEKK) model to analyze the impact of two...

This paper examines how regulatory interventions can affect the market risk of electricity utilities and telecom carriers traded in the Brazilian stock market. Our article uses a bivariate Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH - BEKK) model to analyze the impact of two...

Micro-credit and micro-finance emerged in the 1970’s in some Asian and Latin American countries as an instrument for fighting poverty and social exclusion. Using 2006-9 portuguese micro-level data, we estimate the failure rate of Portuguese micro-credit projects as 18,4%/year. This failure...

O presente trabalho objetiva analisar empiricamente as relações entre crescimento econômico e abertura da conta financeira do balanço de pagamentos, tendo como lementos centrais a restrição imposta pelo Balanço de Pagamentos ao crescimento econômico, bem como s dificuldades associadas à...

This paper analyzes the under-investigated relationship uniting financial development and income distribution. We use a novel approach taking into account for the first time the specific channels linking banks, capital markets and income inequality, the time-varying nature of the relationship,...

Our objective is to analyze the gravity of panel attrition in the Brazilian Monthly Employment Survey (PME). There are three types of panel attrition: a) random, that does not produce any selection bias; b) function of observables, whose bias can be corrected through an appropriate re-weighing...

This paper investigates the main determinants of grade repetition using the Brazilian school census between 2007 and 2010. For the first time such a study is conducted with all students in a panel. We begin with a brief analysis of attrition in the school census and then estimate logistic...