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This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009268869
This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330562
We estimate a VAR model of the Phillips curve with an exchange rate shock to the Brazilian economy. Several different ….p. over the annualized inflation); ii) a shock on the unemployment rate lasts for 18 months; iii) a shock on the expectations … are carried to the next month inflation (0.58 p.p. over the annualized inflation); and iv) a shock on the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009553780
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001183895
This article investigates the effects of fiscal policy shock in the Brazilian economy using quarterly data during the …. We find that in response of an expansionary shock of public expenditures the private consumption increases surely. It can … shock of the public net revenues. But in long run the probability of this response to be positive rises strongly.With 76 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003823368
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330689
This paper estimates the Brazilian NAILO (Nonaccelerating Inflation Level of Output), obtains (Bayesian) probability bands for the Nailo and for its growth rate, and investigates the relationship between deviations of output with respect to the Nailo and the acceleration of inflation. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003772458
This paper deals with the existence and identification of a common European growth cycle. Univariate Markov switching autoregressions (MS-AR) are used for individual countries in order to detect changes in the mean growth rate of industrial production. A Markov switching vector autoregression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005063214
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167404