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Previsão de homicídios no Brasil: Proposta de variável antecedente
Lins, Gabriel de Oliveira Accioly; Cerqueira, Daniel; … - 2020
In this article we investigate the capacity of antecedent variables, among them admissions for aggression, in the prediction of the number of homicides in Brazil. The main objective is to eliminate a gap regarding the large time lag in the dissemination of information about these deaths in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616509
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Previsão de homicídios no Brasil: proposta de variável antecedente
Lins, Gabriel de Oliveira Accioly; Cerqueira, Daniel; … - 2020
In this article we investigate the capacity of antecedent variables, among them admissions for aggression, in the prediction of the number of homicides in Brazil. The main objective is to eliminate a gap regarding the large time lag in the dissemination of information about these deaths in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012319134
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Sobreapreciação cambial no Brasil: Estimativa, causas e consequências (1994-2008)
de Araujo, Eliane Cristina; Leite, Marcos Vinicius Chiliatto - 2009
This article analyzes the exchange rate misalignment in Brazil in the period between 1994 and the early 2008, exploring its causes and consequences. The method used was to adjust the exchange rate according to the economic fundamentals. The estimations led to an expected long-term exchange rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330858
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Sobreapreciação cambial no Brasil : estimativa, causas e consequências (1994 - 2008)
Araujo, Eliane Cristina de; Leite, Marcos Vinicius Chiliatto - 2009
This article analyzes the exchange rate misalignment in Brazil in the period between 1994 and the early 2008, exploring its causes and consequences. The method used was to adjust the exchange rate according to the economic fundamentals. The estimations led to an expected long-term exchange rate,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857099
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CÂMBIO, INFLAÇÃO E JUROS NA TRANSIÇÃO DO REGIME CAMBIAL BRASILEIRO: UMA ANÁLISE DE VETORES AUTO-REGRESSIVOS E CAUSALIDADE
Cardoso, Carlos de Almeida; Vieira, Flávio Vilela - Associação dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em … - 2004
The present work examines the exchange regime transition in Brazil (1994 to 2003) based on the hypothesis of the existence of changes in the interaction of exchange rate, interest rates and inflation. It also examines to what extent one can say that there was a fear of floating. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005085898
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Perspectivas da complexidade para a educação no Brasil
Sakowsk, Patrícia Alessandra Moritai; Tóvolli, Marina … - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372359
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O desempenho do mercado (Focus) na previsão da inflação: Novos resultados?
Lima, Elcyon Caiado Rocha; Alves, Paloma Palmieri - 2011
The evaluation of forecasts performance of market expectations about the Brazilian inflation rate (Focus survey) is … (measured by IPCA) forecasts for horizons superior to three months. In this article, using more recent information, we found no … significant evidence that the mean of market forecasts had superior forecast ability than some univariate autoregressive models. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330660
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O futuro do Estado no Brasil e seus impactos na sociedade: Questões para o desenvolvimento até 2035
Lima, Raphael Camargo; Curado, Maurício Pinheiro Fleury - 2017
In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and State agendas. Hence, the present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818900
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O futuro da inserção internacional do Brasil: Questões para o desenvolvimento até 2035
Lima, Raphael Camargo - 2017
In Brazil, it has been difficult to elaborate governmental planning surpassing the four-year spectrum from the Pluriannual Plans. Despite the fact of long-term planning attracting a wide range of sectors, it still occupies a small space in both political and bureaucratic agendas. Hence, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011818909
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Há fundamentalidade nos modelos de VAR fiscal típicos para o Brasil?
Vonbun, Christian; Lima, Elcyon Caiado Rocha - 2020
The vector autoregressive and structural vector autoregressive (VAR/SVAR) models are the cornerstone of the contemporaneous empirical macroeconomic research, in particular for measuring the impact of fiscal policy shocks. They may be employed as atheoretical models, as well as a mean to support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616454