This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...

This paper attempts to extend empirical investigations about the asymmetric effects of monetary shocks in the Brazilian economy. We specify and estimate a nonlinear smooth transition vector autoregressive model including output, price level, exchange rate and a monetary policy indicator (Selic...

A retrospective analysis of the Portuguese business cycle synchronization with some business cycles of reference allows us to draw conclusions that support the vital need to invest in domestic production that, by its nature, being exportable and/or being substitute of imports. From this point of...

Resumo: São testadas duas formas distintas de assimetria cíclica, a deepness e a steepness, através da aplicação do teste do coeficiente de enviesamento e do teste triples. A assimetria é analisada em vinte e três países, segundo uma perspectiva secular do PIB real per capita (1820/70 a...

This study introduces and evaluates a bottom-up methodology for projecting the Gross Value-Added of the agricultural sector (agricultural GDP). This approach integrates econometric methods with early crop forecasts, which are released one year ahead of annual production figures by specialized...

This study aims to analyze the evolution and characteristics of overeducation in Brazil between 2012 and 2023 using data from the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios Contínua (PNADC). Overeducated workers are those who perform jobs that require less than their level of education,...

The functioning of the labor market can be represented by worker flows, and the fluctuation of these flows determines the fluctuation of unemployment. The literature measures the importance of a flow such as the proportion of the variance of long-term or stationary unemployment that is explained...

This article discusses which may be the trajectory of the Brazilian economy over the 2020s, particularly in the transition from the current period when there is idle capacity in the economy to a period when the growth of supply capacity may again be crucial for growth. From the context created...

This study aims to analyse the demand for credit in Brazilian market for vehicles. Based on the Markov Switching model to dealing with regime change, we estimate a demand function using aggregated monthly data from Oct./2000 to Dec./2012. The results showed that the demand for credit was subject...

This paper analyzes the Brazilian case, the transient conditions of employment levels and income distribution in the country, using micro data from the Monthly Employment Survey (PME) produced by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) to assess the effects of macroeconomic...