Showing 1 - 10 of 149
, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning … of a systemic banking crisis; the medium-term scenario forecasting of key macroeconomic and financial indicators; stress …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422045
This paper considers different ways of computing indexes for forecasting economic activity in Russia. The first is the … application to Russian data and to develop a better methodology for forecasting economic activity in Russia. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005422773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323430
World oil prices in 2020 have undergone tangible shocks, which are associated primarily with two events - the collapse of the OPEC+ deal and the coronavirus pandemic. Based on the BVAR model of the oil market, the quantitative role of these events in the dynamics of oil prices was assessed, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015252450
In this work we build a Bayesian vector autoregression model to estimate the impact of global economic activity shocks, supply shocks in the global oil market, as well as speculative oil shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Russian economy: GDP, household consumption, fixed capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234834
In this work we build a Bayesian vector autoregression model to estimate the impact of global economic activity shocks, supply shocks in the global oil market, as well as speculative oil shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Russian economy: GDP, household consumption, fixed capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234893
In this work we build a Bayesian vector autoregression model to estimate the impact of global economic activity shocks, supply shocks in the global oil market, as well as speculative oil shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Russian economy: GDP, household consumption, fixed capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015234895
In this work we build a Bayesian vector autoregression model to estimate the impact of global economic activity shocks, supply shocks in the global oil market, as well as speculative oil shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Russian economy: GDP, household consumption, fixed capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015237092
Russian Abstract: Мировые цены на нефть в 2020 г. претерпели ощутимые потрясения, которые связывают прежде всего с двумя событиями – срывом сделки ОПЕК+ и пандемией...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212250
The development of industrial and commercial processes on the modern stage withdrew in the first place before all the economic organizations, the task of improving and developing management systems. Studies (in particular the example of small-and medium-sized enterprises) show that a large part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008474501