The article summarizes the key results of researches in the field of early warning systems for financial crises, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning system consists of three major blocks: the leading...

We consider the concept of a wage curve describing a negative relationship between unemployment and wages. We suggest an explanation of the wage curve using a number of theoretical labor market models, and present an empirical result of its determination for Russia obtained from analysis of...

Повышение урожайности сельскохозяйственных культур играет решающую роль в удовлетворении растущего спроса на продовольствие в мире. Россия облада-ет...

Russian Abstract: В данном обзоре рассматриваются методы тестирования наличия единичного корня во временном ряде при наличии структурных сдвигов. Отдельно обсуждаются...

Russian Abstract: Статья посвящена исследованию эффективности конкурентных государственных «зеленых» закупок. Рассмотрены показатели эффективности «зеленых»...

In our paper, we use the gravity model of the international trade to estimate the effect of the future WTO ascension for Russia based on the current WTO effect for Russia's WTO trade partners. Starting from Rose's specification, we constructed several progressively exact models. Nevertheless,...

Statistical evidences that some transmission channels of «resource curse» operate in Russian economy at regional level are received. Incomes from export of power resources and gratuitous federal transfers play a role in increase of officialdom, in distortion of regional elite behavior, and...

Russian Abstract: В препринте на основе стохастического анализа SFA предложены оценки технической эффективности 78 регионов России в 2011-2016 годы, учитывающие...

The Minimax criterion is considered as an alternative to the least-squares method in determination of principal components Estimated coefficients are formulated as linear programming problem The offered approach was experimentally checked using well known test data sets On these data sets the...