The article summarizes the key results of researches in the field of early warning systems for financial crises, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning system consists of three major blocks: the leading...

Russian abstract: В втором квартале 2020 г. безработица в России умеренно росла, в третьем и четвертом кварталах, несмотря на восстановление экономики, она оказалась...

The second part of the article continues studying the structure of a set of variables. It consists of two pieces: (1) de-scription of a modification of Dempster covariance selection algorithm based on its combination with that of tree dependence structures construction, simulation results,...

Russian Abstract: В статье представлен подход для разработки методики оценки эффективности инновационного проекта. Так, определены основные задачи планирования от...

Russian abstract: В статье рассмотрены результаты исследования метода частотно-временного анализа сигналов на основе использования функций поведения и арифметических...

The Minimax criterion is considered as an alternative to the least-squares method in determination of principal components Estimated coefficients are formulated as linear programming problem The offered approach was experimentally checked using well known test data sets On these data sets the...

We take a decision-theoretic view on the question of how to use instrumental variables and method of moments. Since prior beliefs play an inevitably strong role when instruments are possibly "weak", or when the number of instruments is large relative to the number of observations, it is...