The article summarizes the key results of researches in the field of early warning systems for financial crises, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning system consists of three major blocks: the leading...

We perform Bayesian analysis of the sequence of unknown means mi given observations Xi under the assumption that, for any k 0, the first k members X1, X2, …, Xk are normally distributed with the mean (m1,…, mk ) and a known covariance matrix. It is assumed that the parameters m1,…, mk,…...

Несмотря на ожидаемую нехватку пригодных для расширения сельскохозяйственного производства земель в мире, процессы забрасывания сельскохозяйственных земель...