Functional Signal plus Noise (FSN) time series models are introduced for the econometric analysis of the dynamics of a large cross-section of prices in which contemporaneous observations are functionally related. A semiparametric FSN model is developed in which a smooth, cubic spline signal...

The paper analyses the factors leading to the fall of long-term interest rates in the Czech Republic – respectively, the long-term interest rate differential in the Czech Republic and the Eurozone – between 1998 and 2003. The selection of factors is determined by the Fisher equation, UIP,...

V čase, keď sa globálna ekonomika ocitá v problémoch s klesajúcim ekonomickým rastom a rastúcou infláciou, pokračuje ďalšie rozširovanie členskej základne eurozóny. Globálna nerovnováha sa prejavuje aj na európskom finančnom trhu. Euro sa zhodnocuje oproti americkému...

Slovak Republic entered the ERM II in the end of 2005 whereby it came nearer to its strategic objective - joining the euro area. In this paper we try to answer two questions. Section 1 examines the features and risks of the EMU. Is EMU an optimum currency area and what is the OCA scorecard of...

In this paper the authors try to measure production gap in the Czech Republic and, consequently, non-accelerating inflation product (NAIP) as an approximation of potential product. NAIP is treated as an unobservable variable, to which an augmented Phillips curve plays a key role in its...

Úspìch cílování inflace spoèívá v systematické reakci mìnové politiky na významnìjší poruchy. K zajištìní systémového chování musí být monetární politika explicitnì založena na støednìdobém makroekonomickém rámci s dopøedu hledícím transmisním mechanizmem....

In this paper, we investigate the adequacy of scaling, a method frequently used in estimation of standard deviation of stock returns. Scaling is based on the assumption that standard deviation is proportional to the square root of the length of the time interval of the sample (for example daily,...

This paper examines features of the Czech stock market’s development from 1997 to 2003 and attempts to unveil the macroeconomic consequences of stock-price development. The analysis of the stock market’s behavior supports a cautionary stance on the hypothesis of the efficient-market theory,...