This paper presents an analysis of the expected inflation distribution based on the surveys made to economic analysts …, dispersion, and skewness, of expected inflation. It is anticipated that the behavior of these aspects will be consistent with the … process of inflation convergence to its target, in the sense that the expected inflation level and dispersion, and the …

This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of … relative performance using as benchmarks forecasts from time series models and from other macroeconomic variables. Inflation … be better, in mean squared error terms, than the benchmark forecasts, except for the case of one-yearahead inflation. In …

Inflation forecasting plays a central role in monetary policy formulation. At the same time, recent international … empirical evidence suggests that with the decline in inflation of recent years, the joint dynamics of this variable and its … potential predictors has changed and inflation has become more unpredictable. Using a univariate model as a benchmark, we …