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Con datos históricos previos al default correspondientes a bonos colocados en el mercado local (Letes y Bontes) y en el internacional (bonos Globales), se emplea la técnica de componentes principales para analizar los desplazamientos de la curva de rendimientos en el mercado de bonos. Se...
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El financiamiento a través de instrumentos de deuda de una economía con ingresos volátiles y vulnerable a shocks externos incrementa los riesgos asociados al incumplimiento de crédito en situaciones de crisis, mas aún cuando la economía en su conjunto se encuentra expuesta una fuente de...
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The recent rise in commodity prices and the increase in price volatility have aroused certain concern and controversy … could break out. This paper intends to delve into some aspects of the phenomenon known as commodity price volatility. First …, we study the relationship between volatility and financial markets. We can infer from the literature that the empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010312940
In this paper I present a real-time estimation of the evolution of the Investment, constructed from a broad set of high frequency economic indicators: known in the literature as Nowcasting. The Nowcast exercise was developed considering three groups of monthly indicators throughout dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057268
We forecast economic activity in Argentina on a quarterly real-time basis using dynamic factors models (DFM) (Blanco et al. 2018) and evaluate their forecasting performance during the COVID19 pandemic of 2020. We compare the results of forecasts based on a pre-pandemic estimation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545966
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volatility that has been proposed for the real options approach (ROA), and also provide a theoretical and practical explanation … for estimating an unbiased volatility and unconditional for this methodology. The results of the research suggest that the … use of the current methods generates a marked overestimation of the volatility, which is ultimately transmitted in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494458