It has been found that the t-statistic for testing the null of no relationship between two independent variables diverges asymptotically under a wide variety of nonstationary data generating processes. This paper introduces a simple method which guarantees convergence of this t-statistic to a...

This article studies the role that economic integration with the United States has played in the determination of Mexican GDP during the 1980-2000 period. The analysis is based on the estimation of long-run relationships and associated dynamics for the Mexican GDP and each one of its components...

En este artículo se presentan los resultados de un modelo econométrico que permite analizar la conducta a través del ciclo y en el largo plazo del consumo de acero de laminados en América Latina en su conjunto. En el modelo cobra especial importancia el rol del crecimiento del PIB y la...

We examine the long-run relationship between the parallel and the official exchange rate in Colombia over two regimes; a crawling peg period and a more flexible crawling band one. The short-run adjustment process of the parallel rate is examined both in a linear and a non-linear context. We find...

For policy makers and business cycles analysts is important to count on variables that anticipate points of inflection in economic activity. This paper studies aggregate real money balances as leader indicator of the economic activity based on a Probit mo

The aim of this paper is to determine whether there have been differences in the effectiveness of the transmission mechanism of monetary policy in Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the United Kingdom since Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) establishment. The analysis is based on the fulfilment...