The ability of some neural nets to predict the direction of the Mexican economy -represented by its LEI (Leading Economic Indicators/Index) - when taking as inputs the simultaneous versions (smoothing and predictive) of a Gaussian Process fed with a Stock Index and a Bonds Index representing the...

This paper deals with the main theoretical problems regarding the application of stochastic processes to leptokurtic financial return distributions. A sort of statistical tests based on the stock index Banamex 30 is performed in order to choose the stochastic model that provides the best fit to...