This paper, first, reviews briefly the literature on the term structure of interest rates, citing some of the most important studies done on the topic for the Mexican case in the last years. In addition, the development of the government debt market is described. Second, evidence against the...

This paper, first, reviews briefly the literature on the term structure of interest rates, citing some of the most important studies done on the topic for the Mexican case in the last years. In addition, the development of the government debt market is described. Second, evidence against the...

This paper, first, reviews briefly the literature on the term structure of interest rates, citing some of the most important studies done on the topic for the Mexican case in the last years. In addition, the development of the government debt market is described. Second, evidence against the...

This article uses conventional models to evaluate whether the term structure of interest rates can predict economic activity in Mexico. A positive relationship between interest rate differentials and economic activity is detected, even after controlling for the monetary policy stance through...

How does the yield curve incorporate expectations on the Colombian future short-term interest rates? Two theories have been proposed to explain it: the Expectation Hypothesis and the Liquidity Preference Hypothesis. This paper tests both theories for the TES yield curve as well as for the CDT...

This paper focuses on modelling the short-term interest rate. We estimate and compare different conditional heteroskedasticity models which are divided into three groups: (1) the Levels models; (2) the GARCH models; and (3) the Mixed models which take into account the effects in both (1) and...

This paper analyzes the effects of changes of Banco de la República’s policy interest rate in the term structure. The evidence suggests that, in daily frequency, these reactions are not significant. However, with weekly data we found an anticipated reacti

Se analizan los efectos de los movimientos de las tasas de intervención del Banco de la República en la estructura a plazo. La evidencia sugiere que, en frecuencia diaria, las reacciones son imperceptibles. Sin embargo, con datos en frecuencia semanal, la evidencia muestra un efecto...

Se utiliza información de los mercados de Estados Unidos e Inglaterra para hacerestimaciones actuales de la capacidad que tienen la Reserva Federal y el Banco deInglaterra de afectar las tasas de interés del mercado. Las estimaciones muestran quela reacciones son mucho menores que las...

Este artículo forma parte de un proyecto más amplio sobre la crisis económica de fin de siglo en Colombia (Urrutia y Llano, 2011). Esta tuvo varias causas, incluyendo la crisis internacional asiática y la rusa, una crisis hipotecaria y bancaria local y un persistente déficit fiscal. En este...