Inflation forecasting plays a central role in monetary policy formulation. At the same time, recent international … empirical evidence suggests that with the decline in inflation of recent years, the joint dynamics of this variable and its … potential predictors has changed and inflation has become more unpredictable. Using a univariate model as a benchmark, we …

We construct inflation pressure indicators based on the long-run relationship that exists between monetary aggregates … determinants considering its long-run coefficients. Our results indicate that monetary policy has been congruent with the inflation …

seigniorage maximizing inflation rate, and (3) analysis of the potential relationship between a measure of excess money and … inflation. Results indicate that the low inflation equilibrium is stable, and that the excess money indicator shows, in …

The hierarchical structure of the Colombian Consumer Price Index (CPI) makes possible to calculate inflation as a … inflation using a lineal combination of the forecasts of these components, i.e. a "bottom to top" approach. In this paper, we … compared with an aggregate forecast using a SARIMA model. Our results show that a "bottom to top" method to forecast inflation …

This document studies the recent evolution of the break-even-inflation implicit in the yields of long-term financial … instruments in Mexico. In particular, it analyzes the dynamics of its main components: the long-run inflation expectation and the … components. This reflects, on the one hand, the progressive convergence of the estimated inflation expectation to Banco de México …

This paper uses the wavelet methodology to analyze the dynamics of inflation in Mexico at different frequencies over … time. First, we analyze the monthly behavior of the headline, core, and noncore inflation from January 2007 to December … 2018. Subsequently, the decomposition shows that the shocks on headline inflation in 2017 were mainly associated with the …

This paper analyzes the relationship between central bank independence and inflation in a panel of 182 countries for … rate of governors. The results indicate that greater central bank independence is associated with lower levels of inflation … inflation volatility and central bank independence, although the results are statistically significant only when using the full …

special emphasis on inflation as a variable of interest for an emerging country, an underdeveloped financial market, and a … that examine the relationship between the rate of return on assets and inflation. We focus our empirical analysis in an … determinant in reference to the effect of the inflation and the exchange rate variables on stocks’ performance. …

This paper makes a comparative study of the inflation dynamics of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and … methodology for decomposing the short-run evolution of the year-on-year inflation between the effects of lagged variables and the … contemporary effects of the determinants. As a result, we show that the influence of the inflation persistence explains a big part …