Showing 1 - 10 of 518
This paper evaluates to what extent the end-of-sample problem inherent to the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter may be ameliorated when estimating the output gap. For that purpose, the filter of St-Amant and van Norden (1997) is proposed using Mexican data under both univariate and multivariate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490290
Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162466
By using the methodology of Bry and Boschan (1971), this work proposes precise dates for the business cycles occurred in Colombia between 1980 and 2007 identifying the phases of boom and slump. During the sample period, five complete cycles were detected, which happened to be asymmetric such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464607
In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157570
This paper presents an empirical characterization of Uruguayan’s Business Cycle applying the Switching Regime methodology; three scenarios were considered: recession, moderate growth and boom. The relation between regional and Uruguayan’s business cycle is analyzed through the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170251
In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322545
Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292074
Regularly there are periods of a dramatic decline in stock markets that are defined as “stock market crashes” and cause “stock market crisis”. Analysis of the influence of this crisis over the Spanish stock market, the originating causes and their repercussions over the market can enable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015224164
This paper provides pioneering estimates of the impact of loan-to-value (LTV) ratios, also known as leverage, on economic growth in Bolivia. The analysis reveals the pro-cyclicality between the economic and financial cycles, confirming the stylized facts. We emphasize the significance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015269795
Credit boom, defined as an excess of lending above its long-run trend, is an important financial phenomenon to be considered when designing a set of early warning systems indicators to detect financial crisis in order either to avoid it or to lessen its impact. This paper presents an analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254103