This paper evaluates to what extent the end-of-sample problem inherent to the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter may be ameliorated when estimating the output gap. For that purpose, the filter of St-Amant and van Norden (1997) is proposed using Mexican data under both univariate and multivariate...

By using the methodology of Bry and Boschan (1971), this work proposes precise dates for the business cycles occurred in Colombia between 1980 and 2007 identifying the phases of boom and slump. During the sample period, five complete cycles were detected, which happened to be asymmetric such as...

In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...

In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between...

Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...

This paper presents an empirical characterization of Uruguayan’s Business Cycle applying the Switching Regime methodology; three scenarios were considered: recession, moderate growth and boom. The relation between regional and Uruguayan’s business cycle is analyzed through the same...

Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...

Credit boom, defined as an excess of lending above its long-run trend, is an important financial phenomenon to be considered when designing a set of early warning systems indicators to detect financial crisis in order either to avoid it or to lessen its impact. This paper presents an analysis of...

We estimate a Financial Conditions Index (FCI) for the Dominican Republic (DR) for the sample 2003 – January 2016 using the principal component analysis methodology and the Hatzius et al. (2010) approach. The estimated FCI captures the periods of financial stress of the Dominican economy in...

This paper evaluates optimal monetary policy in a new Keynesian model for an open economy with financial frictions. In the model, aggregate demand is made up of the weighted average of the short and long-term interest rates. A comprehensive set of monetary policy rules is established, all...