The exchange rate is influenced by multiple national and international macroeconomic factors, which generates high levels of uncertainty. The objective of this research is the construction of ARIMA-GARCH and ARIMAX-GARCH models as a tool for the forecast of the exchange rate in Colombia from the...

This research approaches the poverty determinants from a macroeconomic perspective in Bolivia. The identity proposed by Bourguignon is analyzed; it simultaneously considers the economic growth and distribution effects on poverty. For this objective the considered literature relates macroeconomic...

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the cyclical behavior of the Bolivian economy based on a Markov-Switching Dynamic General Equilibrium model (MS-DSGE). Using a model for a small open economy, with monetary targeting and foreign-exchange intervention, results of Bayesian estimation...

Spanish abstract: En esta monografía se realiza un análisis macroeconómico de Francia siguiendo la siguiente estructura: resumen ejecutivo; situación actual; riesgos y perspectivas; y análisis de la política económica. Coincide con la estructura típica del informe del Fondo Monetario...

Spanish Abstract: Este documento presenta un análisis del comportamiento de la economía colombiana durante la última década y media, pero enmarcado en una perspectiva de largo plazo desde los años 90, cuando la dirigencia colombiana decidió darle un giro al patrón de acumulación, desde...

The exchange rate is influenced by multiple national and international macroeconomic factors, which generates high levels of uncertainty. The objective of this research is the construction of ARIMA-GARCH and ARIMAX-GARCH models as a tool for the forecast of the exchange rate in Colombia from the...

This research approaches the poverty determinants from a macroeconomic perspective in Bolivia. The identity proposed by Bourguignon is analyzed; it simultaneously considers the economic growth and distribution effects on poverty. For this objective the considered literature relates macroeconomic...

The objective of this paper is to evaluate the cyclical behavior of the Bolivian economy based on a Markov-Switching Dynamic General Equilibrium model (MS-DSGE). Using a model for a small open economy, with monetary targeting and foreign-exchange intervention, results of Bayesian estimation...

En este trabajo se cuantifica el impacto macroeconómico del beneficio tributario al capital establecido en Colombia en el 2003, en el contexto de un modelo de equilibrio general dinámico de previsión perfecta con oferta de trabajo endógena. Los ejercicios de calibración indican que hay...