This paper tries to explain, using a model that includes asset market risk country, the behavior of nominal exchange rate, as well as determine the impact of this risk in determining the exchange rate, also seeks to establish whether the exchange rate is below the level predicted by their bases...

Spanish Abstract: En ese artículo se efectúa un análisis de la integración y dependencia de las políticas monetarias de la Unión Europea y, en concreto, de las políticas monetarias de la Unión Económica y Monetaria y de la zona no euro para el periodo comprendido entre Enero de 1999 y...

This work tries to explain, by means of Phillips's curve (in a simple model), the relation that exists between inflation and rate of unemployment in the period from 1993 to 2006, in addition estimates the natural rate of unemployment for the above mentioned period, here evidence appears in...

This paper provides, via Monte Carlo simulations, estimates of the classical probability of overfitting under an autoregressive environment (AR), using the information criteria (IC) of Akaike, Schwarz and Hannan-Quinn (AIC, BIC and HQ), calibrated with Chilean data of total inflation, core...

We construct inflation pressure indicators based on the long-run relationship that exists between monetary aggregates and prices, once it is adequately adjusted to account for the scale of transactions, as well as the opportunity cost of holding money. To that end, an extensive long-run...

This paper presents an econometric analysis of the demand for the monetary aggregate M1 in Mexico. Using cointegration techniques, we identify both a stable long-run relationship between M1 and its determinants, and a statistically sound single-equation error-correction model. Results are used...

This paper analyzes the exchange rate pass through to consumer prices in Mexico using different methodologies. First, we estimate Vector Autoregressive Models (VAR). Subsequently, we estimate Autoregressive Distributed Lags Models (ARDL) in order to make a long run analysis. In particular, we...

Este documento de trabajo provee un análisis empírico de la relación entre movimientos del tipo de cambio y los principales índices de precios en los países de la OECD. El análisis del trabajo esta centrado en cómo diferentes ambientes inflacionarios permitirían explicar el descenso en...

En este documento se establecen algunos hechos estilizados acerca del comportamiento de los precios regulados en Colombia. Se analiza el grado de rigidez de los precios en diferentes categorías de productos, con un énfasis particular en los precios regulados. En el documento se establece que...

This paper contains the results of a non parametric multi-step ahead forecast for the monthly Colombian inflation, using Mean conditional Kernel estimation over inflation changes, with no inclusion of exogenous variables. The results are compared with those from an ARIMA and a nonlinear STAR....