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This paper provides an empirical analysis of the business cycle regularities of the Uruguayan economy from 1975 to 1994, using quarterly macroeconomic data. The method of estimation of the cyclical components is based on the application of the Hodrick-Prescott filter to the unobserved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005518331
Spanish Abstract: En el presente trabajo se lleva a un contexto regional la metodología de Stock y Watson (1991), usualmente aplicada en la construcción de indicadores de actividad económicas a nivel macroeconómico. A partir de siete series históricas claves del departamento del Valle del...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000684
English Abstract: This paper first constructs a regional-scale indicator that seeks to gauge the volume of measures implemented at each point in time to contain the pandemic. Using textual analysis techniques, we analyse the information in press news. At the start of the pandemic, measures were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235044
Spanish Abstract: Mediante un modelo BVAR y empleando los datos del Indicador Mensual de Actividad Económica (IMAE), se estima el efecto de distintos choques monetarios y del sector externo sobre el crecimiento cíclico del departamento del Valle del Cauca, y se compara con el efecto que tienen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928951
We search for evidence against the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between inflation and growth rates for 1993-2012 Peruvian data. A family of dichotomous models provide the way to model the relationship between the those two variables' cycles. Given the acceleration/de-acceleration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015245557
The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between tax level and political stability by using some economic control variables and to see the relationship among government effectiveness, corruption, and GDP. For the purpose, we used the Vector Autoregression (VAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015227875
The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between tax level and political stability by using some economic control variables and to see the relationship among government effectiveness, corruption, and GDP. For the purpose, we used the Vector Autoregression (VAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015244979
The present study is, in particular, an attempt to test the relationship between tax level and political stability by using some economic control variables and to see the relationship among government effectiveness, corruption, and GDP. For the purpose, we used the Vector Autoregression (VAR)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015245700
En los bancos centrales se suele utilizar modelos no estructurales y semi-estructurales para predecir diversas variables, especialmente la inflación, cuyo control es su principal objetivo. El Sistema de Predicción Desagregada (SPD) es un conjunto de modelos SparseVAR no estructurales usados...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005694888
This document compares the proprieties of different empirical methodologies to estimate the output gap and the potential output (non-observable variables of interest to the design of monetary policy and macroeconomic analysis) using Dominican Republic as a case of study. The output gap and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015232119