Showing 1 - 10 of 338
In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322545
Spanish Abstract: Mediante un modelo BVAR y empleando los datos del Indicador Mensual de Actividad Económica (IMAE), se estima el efecto de distintos choques monetarios y del sector externo sobre el crecimiento cíclico del departamento del Valle del Cauca, y se compara con el efecto que tienen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928951
Spanish Abstract: En el presente trabajo se lleva a un contexto regional la metodología de Stock y Watson (1991), usualmente aplicada en la construcción de indicadores de actividad económicas a nivel macroeconómico. A partir de siete series históricas claves del departamento del Valle del...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000684
English Abstract: This paper first constructs a regional-scale indicator that seeks to gauge the volume of measures implemented at each point in time to contain the pandemic. Using textual analysis techniques, we analyse the information in press news. At the start of the pandemic, measures were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235044
We study whether monetary policy and real exchange rate shocks have non-linear effects on output and inflation in a partially dollarized economy such as Peru. For this purpose, we use a Smooth Transition Vector Autoregression methodology and then report impulse-response functions for shocks of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005209355
Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162466
By using the methodology of Bry and Boschan (1971), this work proposes precise dates for the business cycles occurred in Colombia between 1980 and 2007 identifying the phases of boom and slump. During the sample period, five complete cycles were detected, which happened to be asymmetric such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464607
This paper presents an empirical characterization of Uruguayan’s Business Cycle applying the Switching Regime methodology; three scenarios were considered: recession, moderate growth and boom. The relation between regional and Uruguayan’s business cycle is analyzed through the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170251
In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157570
Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292074