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In this paper we analyze the synchronization between the business cycles of US and Mexican regions. Regional economic activity in Mexico is measured using regional coincident indexes recently developed at Banco de México, while US aggregate economic activity is measured with the national...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322545
This paper provides a description of some of the empirical regularities for the Mexican business cycle. The purpose is to have a benchmark for assessing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models for the Mexican case. We follow the Kydland and Prescott methodology to describe the cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322570
This paper provides a description of some of the empirical regularities for the Mexican business cycle. The purpose is to have a benchmark for assessing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models for the Mexican case. We follow the Kydland and Prescott methodology to describe the cyclical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004967921
Since 2006, Bolivia began an intensive public investment program under its development plan. Fourteen years later, I analyze the role of this expansionary fiscal policy. In this regard, I develop a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model for a small, open and developing country. Among the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013162466
By using the methodology of Bry and Boschan (1971), this work proposes precise dates for the business cycles occurred in Colombia between 1980 and 2007 identifying the phases of boom and slump. During the sample period, five complete cycles were detected, which happened to be asymmetric such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464607
This paper presents an empirical characterization of Uruguayan’s Business Cycle applying the Switching Regime methodology; three scenarios were considered: recession, moderate growth and boom. The relation between regional and Uruguayan’s business cycle is analyzed through the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170251
Business cycles are analysed according to the traditional methodology proposed by Kydland and Prescott (1990) to define stylised facts for the Mexican case. Previous studies are extended by using alternative filters for removing trends, using a larger variables set of monthly data and also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005146607
In this paper we characterize some cyclical patterns for the Andalusian economy, for the period 1984-2001. Our work is basically an empirical one. Our results show that the Andalusian economy is more volatile than Spain as a whole, although there exist an important degree of coherence between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157570
After the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, most economic indicators experienced an increase in the observed volatility, which reduced the accuracy of nowcasting models. In this paper, we present a revision of the Spain-STING model – one of the tools used by the Banco de España to nowcast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502637
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011521921