A tool that has been widely used to identify the state of financial conditions in a country are the financial conditions indexes, since they synthesize information from different variables in a single indicator allowing to identify the general behavior of financial conditions in a timely and...

A tool that has been widely used to identify the state of financial conditions in a country are the financial conditions indexes, since they synthesize information from different variables in a single indicator allowing to identify the general behavior of financial conditions in a timely and...

This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de M'exico. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April...

This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de M´exico. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April...

Spanish Abstract: Es usual que la enseñanza de la Macroeconomía dinámica en los cursos universitarios de pregrado se apoye exclusivamente en exposiciones en prosa supuestamente intuitivas y en gráficos que representan comportamientos de estados estables de los principales mercados de la...

Spanish Abstract: Esta investigación busca analizar si el requerimiento de capital bancario se comporta como un acelerador financiero. Además, se evalúa los efectos sobre la volatilidad del producto y demás variables macroeconómicas y financieras de tres regímenes de regulación en el...

Spanish Abstract: La modelación macroeconómica está bajo intenso escrutinio desde la gran crisis financiera, que dejó al descubierto los graves defectos de la metodología utilizada para entender la economía en su conjunto. Se critican los supuestos empleados en los modelos dominantes, en...

Spanish Abstract: La simulación de sistemas de agentes múltiples y los modelos basados en agentes utilizan entidades virtuales que interactúan siguiendo reglas en ambientes controlados, y permiten entender el comportamiento de los agentes reales considerando aspectos como la heterogeneidad,...

This paper presents the update of the macroeconometric model used at the Bank of Spain for medium term macroeconomic forecasting, as well as for performing policy simulations. The many changes that the Spanish economy has experimented in the last years, and the new system of national accounts...