The purpose of this paper is to estimate the default probabilities in infrastructure projects. For that, we analyze the exposure of the lenders to a state of default. This application is made by assuming the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) dynamic itself and the payment profile determined by...

The ability of some neural nets to predict the direction of the Mexican economy -represented by its LEI (Leading Economic Indicators/Index) - when taking as inputs the simultaneous versions (smoothing and predictive) of a Gaussian Process fed with a Stock Index and a Bonds Index representing the...