Basándose en la literatura existente, en este trabajo se propone una metodología para el estudio gráfico y analítico del componente estacional en una serie temporal. El objetivo del análisis es determinar si el componente estacional responde a un comportamiento determinista o estocástico....

Today that Banco de México has adopted an inflation targeting scheme, it has become more relevant to know the effect that moderate inflation has on economic growth in order to design monetary policy. The purpose of this paper is to estimate that effect following a non-lineal approach similar to...

This paper examines the long run dynamics of Mexico’s money demand using Johansen’s cointegration approach with different specifications. The empirical evidence indicates that real balances, real income and the interest rate are cointegrated in all subperiods. The findings suggest that...

This paper delves into the asymmetries of the exchange rate pass-through on prices in the case of Venezuela, extending the analysis of Mendoza (2004) the prices of goods and services. The data used is monthly for the period 07/90 -12/04. We find that pass-through in services is less than...

In this paper we estimate a structural VAR model to identify the causes of inflation in Ecuador. To examine the VAR dynamics, we use the decomposition of the variance because it provides information about the relative importance of each shock to the variables in the VAR. We differ from previous...

This paper makes a comparative study of the inflation dynamics of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Uruguay during the 2004-2019 period. The goal is to document a number of empirical regularities that are useful for some discussions about the determinants and mechanisms of the...

We assess the impact of extreme variations in rainfalls on consumer prices and agricultural economic activity during the period of 2000 - 2016. Using historical records on rainfall at national level and time series techniques, we identify important effects of droughts over price dynamics and...

Inflation forecasting plays a central role in monetary policy formulation. At the same time, recent international empirical evidence suggests that with the decline in inflation of recent years, the joint dynamics of this variable and its potential predictors has changed and inflation has become...