Showing 1 - 10 of 133
En el análisis estadístico-descriptivo de la serie 1952-2003 para la economía boliviana, se observó que el comportamiento tendencial es dominante respecto al cíclico, por lo que la discrecionalidad de las políticas económicas no coadyuva al crecimiento económico. De esta manera, adquiere...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294128
We jointly parameterized the generalized autoregressive conditional het- eroskedasticity that corresponds to the behavior of the variance of three variables: (a) the core Mexican stock market index (IPC), (b) the Emerging Markets Bond Index for Mexico (EMBI) as country risk pointer and, (c) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307204
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417926
We study the interest rate spread of the Argentine financial system during the last eighteen years. We analyze Granger causality of selected variables, and estimate econometric models that relate spread to macroeconomic and microeconomic factors. Resuls indicate that output growth and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011417927
This paper shows that the evolution of the level of Mexico real and real per capita output between 1895 and 2008 can be adequately described through a trendstationary model, affected by 4 structural breaks, which occurred at dates that seem to coincide with domestic institutional arrangements,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322550
In this paper we introduce two general non-parametric first-order stationary time-series models for which marginal (invariant) and transition distributions are expressed as infinite-dimensional mixtures. That feature makes them the first Bayesian stationary fully non-parametric models developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322563
This article presents three methods to estimate the logarithm of monthly real GDP in Mexico from the Global Indicator of Economic Activity (IGAE): (1) a deterministic approach using the IGAE growth rate; (2) an extension of Denton method; and, (3) the Kalman filter. In these methods the monthly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322584
This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de M'exico. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322588
It has been found that the t-statistic for testing the null of no relationship between two independent variables diverges asymptotically under a wide variety of nonstationary data generating processes. This paper introduces a simple method which guarantees convergence of this t-statistic to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322603
The paper studies the behavior of the household saving rate during the period from 1985 to 2016. We examine the variables considered by the literature to determine the long-term saving rate: Income, wealth, unemployment, credit and indebtedness, public savings, population structure, social...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011995006