Spanish Abstract: La relación existente entre el riego y la rentabilidad de un activo financiero es una preocupación constante del inversionista a la hora de conformar su portafolio de inversión. La principal meta en la construcción del portafolio consiste en distribuir óptimamente la...

This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de M'exico. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April...

This document analyzes inflation, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP growth forecasts from the monthly Survey of Specialists in Economics from the Private Sector, maintained by Banco de México. The study concentrates on the mean across forecasters for the period from January 1995 to April...

Information sources, creation of informant networks and labors of local intelligence have become very important goals in political power calculations of the paramilitary and insurgents. Phenomena of information and rumor can disclose central aspects to understand the direction of events yet to...

Inflation expectations play a key role for a central bank under an inflation targeting regime. This paper analyses the inflation expectations of economic agents answering the Survey of Macroeconomic Expectations run by the Central Bank of the Dominican Republic (BCRD). Data is dis-aggregated by...

This paper aims to defend the importance of the information and persuasion in financial markets. The conviction relates to the developments of Argumentation Theory (AT). Understand that economic agents react according to the information they have, and that beliefs play an important role because...

Information sources, creation of informant networks and labors of local intelligence have become very important goals in political power calculations of the paramilitary and insurgents. Phenomena of information and rumor can disclose central aspects to understand the direction of events yet to...

In this paper we propose to address the issue of monetary economic models that can be used as teaching materials for courses in higher mathematics degree. Specifically, this work is based on a paper by Robert Barro and David Gordon (1983) which models the behavior of a closed economy, with a...

Commodity prices have been growing fast in the last few years and this has caused countless economic changes worldwide. This paper looks for a place in this topic offering a smooth transition vector autoregressive model whose motivation is rooted in the heterogeneous agent based models...

Under what circumstances is it necessary or convenient for an agent to rely on habits and rules? This paper focuses on the types of decision situation giving rise to their use. Even optimisation requires the development of rules, and for this reason mainstream economics cannot legitimately...