Showing 1 - 10 of 391
, under an event-study framework the respond of upside risks of inflation expectations to the approval of the Income Law is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322568
Spanish Abstract: La relación existente entre el riego y la rentabilidad de un activo financiero es una preocupación constante del inversionista a la hora de conformar su portafolio de inversión. La principal meta en la construcción del portafolio consiste en distribuir óptimamente la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003495
English Abstract: This paper examines how expectations affect business growth, the dynamics of investment and … employment at the aggregate level, in the context of a growth model with the extended Solow expectations. It proves that the … growth elasticity of investment with respect to expectations is significantly higher than for the occupation. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022717
This paper reviews the possibility that Harvard barometers would have enabled to predict the Great Depression. Based on data from the ABC curves in August 1929, could have been foreseen the collapse of the stock market and the dramatic fall in economic activity?. It is now accepted that Harvard...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015217669
Based on a deterministic hypothesis, this paper aims to verify the regularity of the stock market cycles and, if this regularity is found, the ability to predict major stock market crises. Harmonic analysis, or Fourier series, is applied in order to, decomposing into sinusoids curves, find the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015228381
Many researchers have explored the implications of Lucas’ misperception model. Arguably, the most important implication of this model is that the slope of the aggregate supply curve depends on the variability of nominal shocks. This paper examines this insight from Lucas’ model using annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015233705
The objective of this study is to estimate the Chilean economy’s growth rate in a context of full employment of the productive resources. As reference, some experts estimate at that the long term growth of the activity has fallen from 5 per cent to a rank between 4.5 per cent and 5 per cent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015263446
We search for evidence against the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between inflation and growth rates for 1993-2012 Peruvian data. A family of dichotomous models provide the way to model the relationship between the those two variables' cycles. Given the acceleration/de-acceleration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015245557
We estimate the Okun Law for Andalusia and Spain using quarterly data for the period 1984-2000. We take a VAR approach that allows us to unveil the different dynamic behaviour of the relationship between the output gap and the unemployment gap in the two regions, as well as the asymmetric nature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005121292
This paper presents an empirical characterization of Uruguayan’s Business Cycle applying the Switching Regime methodology; three scenarios were considered: recession, moderate growth and boom. The relation between regional and Uruguayan’s business cycle is analyzed through the same...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005170251