La presente investigación tiene como objetivo principal desarrollar un análisis de toma de decisiones bajo incertidumbre a través de la aplicación de opciones reales en la evaluación de inversiones en proyectos mineros. Asimismo, se propone estudiar el comportamiento de los precios del oro,...

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the default probabilities in infrastructure projects. For that, we analyze the exposure of the lenders to a state of default. This application is made by assuming the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) dynamic itself and the payment profile determined by...

This study has as its main objective to develop an analysis of decision making under uncertainty using the real options application in the evaluation of investments in mining projects. It is also proposed to study the behaviour of gold prices, for the specific case of Peru, using historic prices...

The purpose of this paper is to estimate the default probabilities in infrastructure projects. For that, we analyze the exposure of the lenders to a state of default. This application is made by assuming the debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) dynamic itself and the payment profile determined by...

El clásico modelo de valoración de opciones europeas de Black y Scholes (1973) supone que los retornos logarítmicos de un activo financiero se distribuyen normalmente, no obstante varios estudios empíricos muestran, primero, que esta distribución puede ser asimétrica y tener colas pesadas"...

Este artículo quiere mostrar los usos y las utilidades de MATLAB©, tanto en la enseñanza como en las aplicaciones de la Matemática Financiera. El artículo tiene dos partes bien diferenciadas: en la primera se hace un estudio estadístico de los datos del Ibex 35 durante gran parte del año...

In some circumstances a decision maker, expert, in a group decision making problem cannot express his/her preferences with a unique linguistic fuzzy preference because he/she is dubious into some preferences. In this paper, we present a consensus model for group decision making problems with...

Insurance companies have to estimate reserves and provisions to cover the payment of either unreported claims or unsettled claims. In this paper, we apply the Chain-Ladder method to obtain a point estimate of reserves, and then we use the bootstrap technique to estimate the margin of error and...

The simulation has proved a particularly effective and powerful technique to evaluate different alternatives for solving problems, without being required actual experimentation. It is particularly useful for decision-making when you want to organize jobs in an organization where there are...