In this paper we build a socio-economic simulation model, called Carrion, to project the public expenditure on the retirement pensions, the social security contributions and the GDP through 2060. The model makes use of detailed hypothesis backed with econometric estimations on the behavior of...

This article examines the origin and early development of the demographic, epidemiological and nutrition transition models, which were defined in order to explain the evolution of biological living standards of the population, during the different phases of the modern economic growth. In...

The evolution of dependency in Spain will have a significant effect over long-term care demand. With the purpose of getting knowledge of the dimension of the dependent population, we apply the EDAD2008. Next, using the Short Term Demographic Projections drew up by INE, we develop different...

This paper presents Disability Free Life Expectancy (DFLE) at the national level for the years 2004, 2005 y 2006, and at the regional level (NUTS 2) by pooling the information of these three years from the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) survey. This is the...

A comparative analysis of the Demographic Transition in China, Japan and South Korea is offered, aimed at identifying the peculiarities and common denominators of this proc-ess in these countries. The context within which these countries have developed the Demographic Transition has conditioned...

This research tries to assess the dependents and Long Term Care costs for next years in Spain. To do this, it has been taken account data from the Survey on Disabilities, Impairments and Health Status and population forecasts estimated by INE, the legal rules passed between 2006 and 2008, and...

Migration has been a difficult phenomenon to measure because of its volatile characteristics and the number of models that explain the essential incentives of the process. In Bolivia there are few quantitative studies of international migratory movements, however, there are records that reflect...

El proceso de urbanización del Estado Mérida, más tardío con respecto al país en su totalidad, se consolida y toma mayor impulso a partir del período intercensal 1961- 1971 con la ciudad de Mérida a la cabeza, extendiéndose hacia La Parroquia y Ejido, bajo los efectos de la...

This essay analyzes the impact of economic fluctuations on migration flows. To do so, the determinants of the inflows and outflows of migrants have been estimated. We find significant evidence on the effect that the macroeconomic fluctuations on the short run has on both flows, although the...

En los últimos treinta años ninguna variable ha sufrido tantos cambios cuantitativos y cualitativos como la población de Venezuela. La década de los años cincuenta y la década de los años ochenta representan a dos venezuelas totalmente diferentes. La primera es una década emparentada con...