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Output gap estimates at the current edge are subject to severe revisions. This study analyzes whether monetary aggregates can be used to improve the reliability of early output gap estimates as proposed by several theoretical models. A real-time experiment shows that real M1 can improve output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886924
In this paper we examine why monetary aggregates of euro area Member States have developed differently since the inception of the euro. We derive a money demand equation that incorporates housing wealth and collateral as well as substitution effects on real money holdings. Empirically, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008509091
Conventional money demand specifications in the euro area have become unstable since 2001. We specify a money demand equation in deviations of individual euro area Member States variables from the euro area average and show that the income elasticity as well as the interest rate semi-elasticity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008528745
We derive fundamental new theory for measuring monetary service flows aggregated over countries within a multicountry economic union. We develop three increasingly restrictive approaches: (1) the heterogeneous agents approach, (2) the multilateral representative agent approach, and (3) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412714
We derive fundamental new theory for measuring monetary service flows aggregated over countries within the European Monetary Union (EMU). We develop three increasingly restrictive approaches: (1) the heterogeneous agents approach, (2) the multilateral representative agent approach, and (3) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005412834
In this paper we examine why monetary aggregates of euro area Member States have developed differently since the inception of the euro. We derive a money demand equation that incorporates housing wealth and collateral as well as substitution effects on real money holdings. Empirically, we show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574387
In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows that the current financial and economic crisis that started in 2007 does not appear to have any noticeable impact on the stability of the euro area money demand function. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010567107
The Target imbalances within the Eurozone can be interpreted as a sign of a missing balance of payments adjustment … mechanism for the member countries. As the Eurozone lacks a fiscal union, in economic theory it is more an exchange rate union … payments, but only one for the whole Eurozone. This paper will show why the Target System is a crucial indicator for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956805
Eurozone? Especially in view of the European Central Bank's improved reputation as a crisis manager in the wake of the …, No UK entry and I will discuss the Eurozone view on UK membership. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643867
China’s concern about its U.S. Dollar reserves is being amplified by the low returns of some of China’ investments in the U.S. which leads to a broader concern about how the current reserve system basically entails China lending to the U.S. at very low interest rates. A two-currency reserve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008567957