Showing 1 - 10 of 22
Turkish Abstract: Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin nüfus açısından en büyük üç şehrinin konut fiyatlarındaki değişimleri etkileyen faktörler incelenmiştir. Bu kapsamda Ocak 2010 – Ağustos 2016 döneminde İstanbul, Ankara ve İzmir'in hedonik konut fiyat endeksindeki değişimleri...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950997
Interest rate is one of the most observed and forecasted variables in financial markets. Interest rates and the volatility of interest rates play a crucial role in pricing financial instruments. In this empirical study, we try to investigate which short term interest rate model is appropriate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464863
In this paper the alternative value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES) analysis were made according to different error distribution assumptions by using stock market daily return series of Turkey (ISE100), United Kingdom (FTSE100), Japan (NIKKEI225) and France (CAC40). The backtesting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008464850
(This paper is in Turkish) This study investigates the stability of the relationship between demand for real money, real income, and interest rates in Turkey using quarterly data for the period from 1988:I to 2005: IV. According to conventional stability tests the demand for money is subject to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005730912
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373850
Turkish Abstract: (Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin enflasyon hedeflemesi deneyimi, bekleyişlerin hedeflere çapalanma derecesi üzerinden değerlendirilmektedir. Zaman içinde değişen vektör özgecikmeli model tahminleri, çapalanma etkisinin 2006 yılı Mayıs ayına kadar yüksek, bu aydaki...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963501
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694646
In this study, an output gap measure is derived for the Turkish economy using an estimated New Keynesian model. Considering the ongoing structural transformation during the last decade, the model is estimated for 2002-2010 period using Bayesian techniques. The results indicate that output, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293993
the evaluation of the forecast performance of the models. By comparing the volatility forecasts of the models with the … results. For the daily forecasts, ARCH type models are inadequate in modeling the high degree of volatility in daily data. For … daily and weekly forecasts, the asymmetric GARCH model emerged as the best performing model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951155
forecasts have been compared with realized volatility for the forecast period. To evaluate the performance of each model … demonstrated the existence of asymmetry and leverage effects in daily, weekly and monthly market data. In model forecasts, it has … been found that weekly and monthly forecasts are more precise than daily forecasts. Moreover, it has also been found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951259