Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...

The aim of this study is to compare the ex post forecast accuracies of VAR, ARIMA, ES, Combining and Add-factor methods. In this comparison, the ex post forecasts of 2000:1-2000:4 are obtained by using the data of the Turkish private consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private...

In this paper, we investigate the responsiveness of financial markets to monetary policy expectations in Turkey. According to the efficient markets hypothesis, financial markets respond to anticipated policy actions prior to a policy announcement. As a result, they are expected to respond only...

Fiyatlar kalabalıkların bilgeliğini mi, yoksa çılgınlığını mı yansıtır? Finansal krizlerin tarihine bakınca, varlık fiyatlarındaki rasyonel temellerden kopuk artışların pek de bilgelik eseri olmadığını düşünebiliriz. Finansal başarısızlık ve çöküş hikâyeleri;...

This study provides a general view for the propagation arising from global liquidity and examines some of the recent effects of it by using the daily Eurobond rates of some emerging market countries. The emprical analysis is based on the database which includes the daily EMBIG indices of Brazil,...

In this study, we examine whether the efficient market hypothesis is valid in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) via parametric and semi parametric long memory models. In order to determine the presence of weak form efficient market hypothesis, we consider 10 sector indices. Semi parametric and...

Sistematik risk olcutu olarak ifade edilen beta (ß) katsayisi, hisse senedinin getirisi ile pazar getirisi arasindaki iliskiyi gosterir. Bu calismanin amaci beta katsayisinin gelecekte ulasacagi degerin tahmin edilmesidir. Bu baglamda Istanbul Menkul Kiymetler Borsasi (IMKB)’nda islem goren...

Interest rate is one of the most observed and forecasted variables in financial markets. Interest rates and the volatility of interest rates play a crucial role in pricing financial instruments. In this empirical study, we try to investigate which short term interest rate model is appropriate...

Turkish Abstract:Bu çalışma Türkiye Hisse Senedi piyasasında hisse senedi getirileri ile likidite volatilitesiarasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Ayrıca farklı likidite ölçülerinin hisse senetlerinilikiditelerine göre aynı şekilde sıralayıp sıralamadıklarını da...