Logit model and the signal approach are two analysis methods being commonly used to forecast and explain currency … facts of "fluctuation, confusion" period being examined. This study is an attempt to specify an ex-post and ex-ante forecast … ; Logit Model ; Signal Approach ; E-post ; Ex-ante Forecast …

For central banks, whose primary objective is to maintain low and sustainable inflation, understanding the determinants …. This study empirically analyzes the determinants of the processed food inflation in Turkey. The findings point out that the … recent acceleration in the processed food inflation mostly stems from supply side shocks triggered by domestic drought and …

In this paper, Turkish high and persistent inflation experience and its impact on inflation uncertainty and growth have … been investigated. GARCH models are used to generate a measure of inflation uncertainty and quarterly data covers the … period of 1987:1-2003:3. According to the results from this study, inflation and inflation uncertainty are of negative …