Inflation compensation derived from nominal and real bond yields contains market based, real time information regarding the inflation expectations and the pricing of inflation risks. In this study, we calculate inflation compensation by estimating nominal and real yield curves for Turkish data....

Nonlinear economic variables have been tested for many years with linear models, thus making them insufficient in providing an explanation for real life. As a result of the recently conducted studies, nonlinear time series analyses are observed to be more successful in forming especially the...

Logit model and the signal approach are two analysis methods being commonly used to forecast and explain currency crises. Logit model is successful to determine explaining variables of crisis and to calculate the probability of crisis in particular during the period experienced with a crisis. On...

In this paper, we investigate the responsiveness of financial markets to monetary policy expectations in Turkey. According to the efficient markets hypothesis, financial markets respond to anticipated policy actions prior to a policy announcement. As a result, they are expected to respond only...